Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
327 am CDT Thursday Jun 20 2013
Short term (today through friday)...
middle to upper level ridge has pushed up into Texas as a trough
moved to the Mississippi Valley. At the surface...high pressure is
centered over the Gulf of Mexico. VAD wind profiles from area
radars show southerly flow in the boundary layer up to about 7kft.
This will lead to stratocu deck forming this morning over the
eastern half of the County Warning Area. Upper ridge will mean clearing during the
afternoon and a warm day. High temperatures will be a few degrees above
normal. Little change in the pattern over the next day or so will
mean a repeat for tonight and Friday.
&&
Long term (friday night through wednesday)...
models are trending toward a stronger upper ridge in the longer
term. This will lower chances for any precipitation through the weekend.
Now it looks like any chance for rain will not come until Monday
afternoon when convection from the Gulf may make it into our
eastern counties. Have included slight chance probability of precipitation Monday and
Tuesday afternoons. Temperatures will continue above normal...but
will stay fairly steady through the period. Have increased them a
couple of degrees from MOS guidance.
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 98 76 98 76 98 / 0 - - - -
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 98 74 97 74 98 / 0 - - - -
New Braunfels Muni Airport 96 74 96 74 96 / 0 - - - -
Burnet Muni Airport 94 74 94 74 94 / 0 - - - -
del Rio International Airport 97 77 98 78 98 / - - - - -
Georgetown Muni Airport 96 74 96 74 96 / 0 - - - -
Hondo Muni Airport 96 75 96 75 96 / - - - - -
San Marcos Muni Airport 96 75 95 74 96 / 0 - - - -
La Grange - Fayette regional 98 77 98 77 98 / 10 - - - -
San Antonio International Airport 95 77 95 76 95 / 0 - - - -
Stinson Muni Airport 94 76 95 75 94 / 0 - - - -
&&
Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&
$$
Mesoscale/aviation...08
synoptic/grids...05
