Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
1006 PM CDT Thursday may 23 2013
Discussion...
A reinforcing cold front located across the northern part of the
midsouth will push through the remainder of the midsouth overnight.
Drier and cooler air will filter in on northerly winds behind the
front as high pressure builds in. Friday will be much cooler with
highs in the 70s along with very comfortable humidities. Made a
few minor tweaks to the sky conditions otherwise forecast looks good.
Sjm
&&
Previous discussion... /issued 255 PM CDT Thursday may 23 2013/
Skies are mostly sunny across the forecast area this afternoon
with temperatures ranging from the lower 70s to lower 80s. A cold
front is moving through north Mississippi at this time and should
be south of the forecast area later this afternoon. Behind the
front drier air is moving into the region making for a very
comfortable afternoon.
High pressure will build into the region tonight which will keep
skies mostly clear and diminish winds. With clear skies and light
winds temperatures will drop into the 50s. With high pressure
still in place on Friday and winds remaining from the north
temperatures will be rather cool with highs in the low to middle 70s.
Friday night will be even cooler than tonight with many locations
in the eastern half of the forecast area seeing temperatures in
the 40s by early Saturday morning.
By Saturday...winds will be shifting to a more southerly direction
which will start to bring warmer air to the region. A warm front
will lift north toward the forecast area with some isolated
thunderstorms possible over extreme northern sections after
midnight. By Sunday...the warm front will be just south of the
forecast area with a slight chance of thunderstorms expected.
Temperatures Sunday will be back to normal levels with highs in
the low to middle 80s.
The frontal boundary is forecast to stall across the forecast and
gradually weaken Monday and early Tuesday with some thunderstorms
possible. By Tuesday night...the front should be gone with a
return of dry weather for Tuesday night through Wednesday night.
A new cold front will move into the plains states on Thursday with
some isolated thunderstorms possibly moving into the region ahead
of the front. Temperatures from Monday through Thursday will
slowly warm up with highs on Thursday in the middle to upper 80s.
Ars
&&
Aviation...
00z taf cycle
VFR conditions will prevail this taf period. Northwest to north
winds at 6-10 kts will veer northeasterly this evening behind a
weak cold front. Winds will increase slightly Friday morning.
Jab
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
mem 57 74 55 80 / 10 0 0 10
mkl 51 73 47 78 / 10 0 0 10
jbr 54 72 52 78 / 10 0 0 10
tup 57 76 49 80 / 10 0 0 0
&&
Meg watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
MO...none.
MS...none.
Tennessee...none.
&&
$$
