Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
627 am CDT Wednesday may 22 2013
Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
Patchy fog will occasionally reduce visibilities to MVFR or lower
during the first couple hours of the taf period except at ktul.
Kfsm will be most likely to see IFR or LIFR conditions in fog. The
fog will burn off by around 14z...with VFR conditions then
prevailing for the rest of the forecast period.
&&
Previous discussion... /issued 426 am CDT Wednesday may 22 2013/
Discussion...
finally a dry day. Cooler than normal. Darby
quantitative precipitation forecast footprint algorithm applied to maximum temperatures.
European model (ecmwf) as well as GFS intent on a dirty ridge
over forecast area Friday-Sunday. Return low
level moisture underneath ridge along with
moisture attributed to rain past couple days
yields chance probability of precipitation. Leaned toward Superior
European model (ecmwf) and its wetter solution.
Southwest flow early next week maintains low
or marginal pop with little to delineate dry
weather from slight chance weather. Must be
late Spring. Gw
&&
Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&
$$
Short term...99
long term....99
aviation...05
