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Wintry Weather Monday Possible (12OCT) |
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Last Updated: 4:09 AM GMT on November 08, 2009
— Last Comment: 4:03 AM GMT on November 08, 2009
   NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook =========================================================== Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2009 season 08NOV2009 4:00 a.m. UTC/07NOV2009 22:00 p.m. CST ============================================== Information used for this blog are from Joint Typhoon Warning Center ----------------- Northwestern Pacific ----------------- Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo Hong Kong Observatory: China Typhoon 2000: Philippines PAGASA: Manila, Philippines ------------------ Northern Indian Ocean -------------------- India Meteorological Department: New Delphi Thailand Meteorological Department ------------------------ Northeastern Pacific Ocean ------------------------ National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL ------------------------- Central Northeastern Pacific ---------------------------- Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii --------------------------- Southern Indian Ocean --------------------------- Bureau of Meteorology Australia Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia Mauritius Meteorological Service Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center -------------------------- Southern Pacific Ocean ----------------------- Bureau of Meteorology Australia Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington ========================================= CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD  ------------------------------------------------------------ =========================== Northwest Pacific Ocean =========================== Area of Responsibility ====================================== Japan Meteorological Agency Japan Meteorological Agency TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21.1ºN 157.4ºE - 30 knots 1002 hPa Tropical Disturbance Summary (0000z 08NOV) =========================================== SUBJECT: Tropical Depression near Minamitori sima At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 21.1N 157.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving east-northeast at 10 knots Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Cyclone Warning =========================== Is Now Subjected To A Tropical Cyclone Warning (25W) Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ======================================== November T0921.Mirinae/Santi - 955 hPa TROPICAL DEPRESSION TINO - 1006 hPa TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W - 1002 hPa ----------------------------------------------------------- ==================== Northeast Pacific Ocean ====================== Area of Responisibility =========================== National Hurricane Center: Miami, Fl Tropical Cyclone Outlook ========================= Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ======================================== November Next Id is EP212009 ----------------------------------------------------------- ============================ North Central Pacific Ocean ============================= Area of Responisibility =========================== Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii Tropical Cyclone Outlook ====================================== Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ======================================== Next Id is CP042009 --------------------------------------------------------- ================== North Indian Ocean ================== Area of Responsibility ============================= RSMC: India Meteorological Department India Meteorological Department Tropical Cyclone Outlook (1200z 07NOV) ======================================== The well marked low pressure area over comorin area and neighbourhood persists. The system is likely to move in a north-northwesterly direction and concentrate into a depression during next 1-2 days. Chief Meteorologist Forecast =========================== Joint Typhoon Warning Center Tropical Disturbance Summary (1800z 07NOV) =========================================== An area of convection (92B) located at 8.1N 79.1E or 85 NM north-northwest of Colombo, Sri Lanka. Over the last 12 hours, animated multispectral imagery showed a partially exposed low level circulation center to the west of Sri Lanka, in the Gulf of Mannar. Recent animated infrared imagery indicates the low level circulation center is approaching land and may be over southern India. The recent imagery also shows waning convection with the deepest convection overland. Though the low level circulation center was recently exposed and appeared to be well defined, the overall circulation, as indicated by the multispectral satellite imagery and a 1256z Quikscat pass, is very broad and monsoonal in nature. Additionally, several 1200z ship observations within 135 to 215 NM from the center are reporting 10-15 knot winds and low sea level pressure ranging from 1004 to 1005 MB. Finally, recent AMSU cross sections fail to show indications of a warm core aloft and recent microwave images, such as the 1332z SSMIS image do not appear to depict any banding or a defined low level circulation center. Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1003 MB. The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is DOWNGRADED TO POOR Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ====================================== November Next Id is 02ARB or 05BOB --------------------------------------------------------- ================== Southwest Indian Ocean ================== Area of Responsibility ============================= RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services Seychelles Meteorological Services Mauritius Meteorological Services PERTURBATION TROPICALE 03-20092010 3.1ºS 74.3ºE - 25 knots 1002 hPa Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1 ===================================== At 12:00 PM, Tropical Disturbance 03R (1002 hPa) located at 3.1S 74.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving south-southwest at 7 knots. RSMC Dvorak Intensity: T2.0 Forecast and Intensity ====================== 12 HRS: 3.5S 73.9E - 25 kts (Perturbation Tropicale) 24 HRS: 4.0S 73.9E - 30 kts (Depression Tropicale) 48 HRS: 5.1S 74.7E - 30 kts (Depression Tropicale) 72 HRS: 6.4S 74.3E - 30 kts (Depression Tropicale) Additional Information ======================== Within this net, despite a neutral to rather defavorable environment in relationship with the moderate east-norteasterly vertical wind shear, the low, monitored since yesterday north of the Chagos has strengthened. Deep convective activity has consolidated since yesterday evening and westerly equatorward low level inflow is boosted by the twin cyclogenesis near Sri Lanka. NWP models disagree about the forecast track but an option of a slow southward drift seems to make consensus. Vertical environment is not expected to improve significantly within the next 72HRS. This low, is in consequenec not expected to deepen rapidly. Next Advisory will be issued at around 0:30 AM 08NOV or until necessary Storm archives (Active Storms in Color) ====================================== November 03R.NONAME - 1002 hPa ------------------------------------------------------------ ======================== South Indian Ocean ======================== Area of Responsibility =========================== RSMC Jakarta (north of 10S from 90-110E) BOM Perth (90-125E) Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center ------------------------------------------------------------ T-num JMA IMD US SS Cat Aus Scale (10 min) (3 min) (1 min) ============================================================ Tropical Depression ---------------------- 1.0 25 kt Low 25 kt Tropical Low 1.5 30 kt 25 kts 30 kt 2.0 30 kt 30 kts 35 kt Tropical Storm --------------------- 2.5 35 kt 35-40 40 kt Cat 1 3.0 45_kt 45-50 50_kt Severe Tropical Storm --------------------- 3.5 55 kt 50-60 55 kt Cat 2 Typhoon -------------------------- 4.0 65 kt 65-70 65 kt 1 Cat 3 4.5 70 kt 77-85 75 kt 1-2 5.0 80 kt 90 90 kt 2-3 5.5 90 kt 102 100 kt 3 Cat 4 6.0 95 kt 115 115 kt 4 6.5 100 kt 127 130 kt 4 Super Typhoon ----------------------------- 7.0 110 kt 140 140 kt 5 Cat 5 7.5 115 kt 155 155 kt 5 8.0 120 kt 170 170 kt 5 Note: India Meteorological Department intensity now according to their website FAQ section. Thanks goes to MargieKieper for this helpful chart =) 309 TCNA21 RJTD 280600 CCAA 28060 47644 MIRINAE(0921) 25162 11370 12244 250// 92714= 6:00 AM UTC October 28 2009 TY Mirinae (T0921) [System #25] 16.2N 137.0E Dvorak Intensity: T5.0 
JULY 1 2009 - AUGUST 31 2009==============================================Information used for this blog are from Joint Typhoon Warning Center-----------------Northwestern Pacific-----------------Japan Meteorological Agency: TokyoHong Kong Observatory: ChinaTyphoon 2000: PhilippinesPAGASA: Manila, Philippines------------------Northern Indian Ocean--------------------India Meteorological Department: New DelphiThailand Meteorological Department------------------------...
Information used for this blog are from Joint Typhoon Warning Center-----------------Northwestern Pacific-----------------Japan Meteorological Agency: TokyoHong Kong Observatory: ChinaTyphoon 2000: PhilippinesPAGASA: Manila, Philippines------------------Northern Indian Ocean--------------------India Meteorological Department: New DelphiThailand Meteorological Department------------------------Northeastern Pacific Ocean------------------------National Hurricane Cente...
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