Western Caribbean disturbance unlikely to develop this week
An area of disturbed weather is bringing some heavy rains to Nicaragua and Honduras and the adjacent waters of the Western Caribbean. This disturbance has generated 2 - 3 inches of rain over these countries over the past two days, and is likely to bring an additional 2 - 3 inches of rain to northeastern Honduras and Nicaragua over the next two days. The disturbance is expected to gradually drift northwards, bringing heavy rain to the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and Cuba by Monday or Tuesday. The disturbance is under prohibitively high wind shear of 30 - 40 knots, and is not a threat to develop today or Monday. Some of the computer models are predicting wind shear may fall low enough to allow development of this system 4 - 7 days from now, but the models have been rather inconsistent in the location and timing of any such development. For now, the chances of a tropical depression forming from this disturbance within the next week appear low, less than 30%.
Figure 1. Visible satellite image of the Western Caribbean disturbance.
I'll have an update Monday.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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I think I've been over that bridge. I want one as good as that up here but "good luck".
I remember this little bridge from the mainland to the Isle of Palms, it was pouring rain, and we get on the bridge and it stops. Get off the bridge, the rain comes in again. It was quite odd...
frankly the topography can be summed up pretty easily...flat...
Even if it is verified, I know it's not a world record (though still amazing). World record was 136 F in Libya, which I think translates to 59 C.
Here is a good reason to keep Hurricanes away from the area for a while...
http://www.postandcourier.com/news/2009/jun/07/big_draw_will_be_tall_ships85170/#comments
Eighteen tall ships are scheduled to make port for Charleston Harbor Fest 2009. The June 26-29 event, which started as a simple wooden-boat show, is fast becoming a major happening on the Charleston calendar.
CRS
Talmadge Memorial Bridge
Was a Great Sight seeing that Bridge,the Old one after being away from the USA for 4 Months.
We cleared that Sucka with the Pilot by about 3 ft to the radar Mast.
Was way cool.
For now, I'll stick to our little draw bridges in Palm Beach that go over the Intracoastal.
LOL
13 September 1922
highest recorded surface temperature was 70.7 °C (159.3 °F) in 2005 in the Lut desert, Iran.
Dang - I won't ever complain about the heat again. :)
Looking at the latest radar though there could be a second round of storms this evening.
before domolition of old bridges
CFS says middle of July.
you guys bring back memories with these pics...back in 1978 i think it was, my girlfriend drove across the old cooper river bridge by accident from mt pleasant...we couldnt turn around... had to keep going...i swear she had her eyes closed and was saying over and over "help me Jesus, help me Jesus... we were both about18 yrs old... then we got stuck in "little mexico" b4 we could figure how to get out of there
ABPZ20 KNHC 071733
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUN 7 2009
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Sure is !
Beautiful bridge pics. And Lol about Mt. Pleasant. Texas has a Mt. Pleasant too. We found that out on our way home from the Rita evac when Barney Fife gave us a speeding ticket. UGH! Lol. They must be sister cities.
Has moisture making its way to S. Florida with a very weak low.
Yeah, just what we need. More rain, sooner or later, we are going to be below sea level..
Nagin "Shanghaied"
(CNN) -- The mayor of New Orleans, Louisiana, has been quarantined in China after possible exposure to the H1N1 virus, his office said Sunday.
Nagin, his wife and a member of his security detail have been quarantined in Shanghai, China,
Ceeon Quiett, the mayor's director of communications, told CNN ... there was no indication how long the quarantine would last
http://edition.cnn.com/2009/US/06/07/china.nagin.flu.virus/?iref=mpstoryview
CRS
yes...neither of us will ever forget that....and then when my uncle had his heart transplant at CMU...my mother drove across at 90 mph i believe...it was frightening
Doesn't the gfs develop it
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