Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Vortex2 tornado study finally gets some twisters to study
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:56 PM GMT on June 08, 2009 +5
A proven way to reduce the incidence of dangerous weather phenomena is to schedule a multi-million dollar field experiment to study the phenomena. Up until this past weekend, that has certainly been true of this year's $10 million Vortex2 tornado study. The 7-week study (which also runs next year) has deployed an armada of over 100 storm chasing vehicles across the Great Plains this Spring, but has largely been frustrated by an exceptionally quiet tornado season. Tornado activity in May was less than half of what was observed last year in May, thanks to a ridge of high pressure that has dominated the weather. The residents of Tornado Alley ran out of luck over the weekend, though, as a strong low pressure system and associated cold front brought severe weather and multiple tornadoes to the region. Sixteen tornado reports were received by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center yesterday, and three on Friday. The team of University of Michigan students that has been writing our featured Vortex2 blog caught some excellent pictures of tornadoes on both Friday and Sunday. Yesterday was probably the last best chance for the Vortex2 project to document a strong tornado, since the project ends this Saturday and no significant tornado outbreaks appear likely for the remainder of this week.

Aurora, Colorado tornado yesterday
A tornado with a 3/4 mile wide debris cloud swept through Aurora, Colorado yesterday, staying on the ground for 8 - 11 miles and damaging a shopping mall, but causing no deaths or injuries. The tornado passed close to one of the high-resolution Terminal Doppler Weather Radars (TDWRs) that we now feature on our web site (see the radar FAQ for more details on these great new additions to our radar offerings). Posted below are the reflectivity and Doppler velocity images from the tornado, showing the amazing fine-scale details these high-resolution radars offer.



Figure 1. Radar reflectivity (top) and Doppler velocity (bottom) from the Denver, Colorado Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR), which caught the classic signature of a supercell thunderstorm tornado over Aurora, Colorado. A tornado dropped down from the low-level mesocyclone inside the parent supercell thunderstorm at the time of these images. Yellow colors located right next to greens/blues indicate that winds are moving towards and away from the radar in close proximity, the signature of strong rotation at low levels. Also visible on the plot are the winds spreading out from a downdraft on the rear side of the tornado. Black arrows denote the direction of wind flow. The dryline was bent back into a E-W orientation near Denver, creating an area of moisture convergence, which triggered thunderstorm formation.

Western Caribbean disturbance unlikely to develop this week
As area of disturbed weather over the Western Caribbean has brought rains of 2 - 3 inches over portions of Nicaragua and Honduras over the past few days. Wind shear is a high 20 - 30 knots over the disturbance, and no computer models are indicating that the disturbance will develop this week.

Jeff Masters, with help from wunderground's tornado expert, Dr. Rob Carver

Dying out after an official 24 minutes on the ground
Tornado (Fungus)
Tornado
Twisted (rrose1)
This was taken approximately 30 minutes after a brief tornado passed through South Hutchinson, KS tonight. The building is a bus manufacturing facility.
Twisted
Categories: Tornado
  Permalink | A A A
Reader Comments
Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted
Viewing: 851 - 901

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35Blog Index

851. Orcasystems 4:35 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Kog, look what happened here a few days ago :(

Maximum Temperature
+40.2 °C at 16:31 on 03 June
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26077
852. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 4:41 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
thats an error is it
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
853. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 4:49 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
what did i just kill the blog
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
854. Orcasystems 4:52 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
what did i just kill the blog


It wasn't an error.. it was frikken hot.
For almost a week, thats straight from my weather station.

Link to the weekly graph
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26077
855. Levi32 4:52 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
what did i just kill the blog


Lol, I'm usually the only one awake still since I live in Alaska.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
856. CybrTeddy 4:53 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
what did i just kill the blog


Nah its 12:52 AM EDT
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20216
857. Orcasystems 4:56 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Nah its 12:52 AM EDT


956 in gods country

its only 856 in your neck of the woods isn't in Levi?
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26077
858. Orcasystems 4:58 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Mind you.. I am old.. off to bed in a couple minutes
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26077
859. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 4:59 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


It wasn't an error.. it was frikken hot.
For almost a week, thats straight from my weather station.
been cooler than normal here orca dam eastly wind off lake keeping temps down been that way since about the last two weeks but soon that wind is going to shift but long range says continuing cool till near end of june
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
860. Levi32 4:59 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


956 in gods country

its only 856 in your neck of the woods isn't in Levi?


Correcto....but it might as well be midnight things are so boring right now.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
861. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:03 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
thunder rolls

more coming once it passes iam of to bed
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
862. Orcasystems 5:09 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting Levi32:


Correcto....but it might as well be midnight things are so boring right now.


Hmm maybe Redoubt will burp for you?
Its only across the sound..
I am off.. I will leave you to look after the Blog for the night.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26077
863. Levi32 5:11 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


Hmm maybe Redoubt will burp for you?
Its only across the sound..
I am off.. I will leave you to look after the Blog for the night.


Ah I hope not we've still got too much ash around from the last time.

Alrighty goodnight.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
864. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:14 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
later big fish

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
865. winter123 5:15 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Please read and comment on my blog! I need constructive criticism! :)

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/winter123/show.html
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1700
866. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:19 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
just had a 90 mph wind gust with heavy rain and thunder wicked
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
867. Levi32 5:22 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
just had a 90 mph wind gust with heavy rain and thunder wicked


Wow Keeper.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
868. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:24 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
looks like it was a micro burst dropped right off but mod rain continues rain rate of 28.8mm per hr more lighting coming from my west looks like round 3
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
869. Levi32 5:28 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
looks like it was a micro burst dropped right off but mod rain continues rain rate of 28.8mm per hr more lighting coming from my west looks like round 3


Sorry I probably missed it earlier but where do you live?
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
870. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:28 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    


right over me now it will be done soon
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
871. Makoto1 5:30 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
I'm amazed that it's 52 near you.. I'm about 350 miles southwest of you and it's 66 and was a lot warmer than that just a few hours ago, amazing what a lake will do.
872. Levi32 5:30 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Oh I see you're in Ontario, Canada somewhere.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 586 Comments: 25441
873. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 5:31 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
southern ontario
dorset park scarbrough,ont
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40449
874. futuremet 8:35 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Conditions are slowly becoming more favorable.
Member Since: July 19, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4049
875. HadesGodWyvern 9:00 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (0600z 09JUN)
=============================================
An area of convection (96W) located at 8.3N 134,1E or 70 NM north-northwest of Palau. Animated multispectral satellite imagery depicts poorly organized convection embedded within an easterly wave. A 0418z AMSU-B image supports the easterly wave near the surface, however the multispectral imagery shows an upper level circulation with weakening convection. Upper level analysis reveals the feature is encountering 20-30 knots of northeasterly vertical wind shear and is located under a region of weak convergence aloft.

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 10-15 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1011 mb. The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains POOR.

System #2
=========
An area of convection (97W) located at 11.8N 113.7E or 390 NM south-southwest of Manila, Philippines. Animated multispectral satellite imagery depicts deep convection developing over a region of mid to upper level turning with tight surface troughing. A 0221z TRMM image indicates that the convection has started to wrap towards the center of the mid-level turning. Upper level analysis indicates a point source providing good outflow with moderate to high vertical wind shear hampering development.


Maximum sustained winds near the center is 10-15 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1010 mb. The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36686
876. IKE 9:15 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
877. futuremet 9:25 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
IKE the new blob looks less sheared compared to the one yesterday.
Member Since: July 19, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4049
878. IKE 9:29 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting futuremet:
IKE the new blob looks less sheared compared to the one yesterday.


I wonder if it's the one the ECMWF, GFS and NAM are all picking up on?
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
879. futuremet 9:32 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting IKE:


I wonder if it's the one the ECMWF, GFS and NAM are all picking up on?


Perhaps, but the models are initializing this further east.
Member Since: July 19, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4049
880. IKE 9:33 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
buoy 42057 in western Caribbean


Wind Direction (WDIR): ENE ( 70 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 13.6 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 17.5 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 3.9 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 8 sec
5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 4.5 sec
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.84 in
5-day plot - Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.05 in ( Falling )

5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 81.5 °F
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 81.9 °F
5-day plot - Dew Point Dew Point (DEWP): 76.1 °F
5-day plot - Heat Index Heat Index (HEAT): 88.5 °F
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
881. futuremet 9:39 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
It is also associated with some lower mid level vorticity.

Member Since: July 19, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4049
882. all4hurricanes 10:01 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
we just got a very severe thunder storm. there's a flash of lightning every five seconds. very unusual for early morning the windows rattle constantly. I'm surprised power isn't out.
Member Since: March 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2190
883. futuremet 10:11 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
06Z GFS NAM, and NOGAPS are all reviving this system. 06Z GFS still expects it to be severely crippled by excessive shear 60hrs from now.


I'll be back this afternoon...see ya.
Member Since: July 19, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 4049
885. beell 10:36 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Today looks pretty righteous for the Vortex2 crew. It just ain't gonna get any better than today.



DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT TUE JUN 09 2009

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF KANSAS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL AND
SRN PLAINS...OZARKS AND MID-MS VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NEW YORK...ERN
PA...MD AND NJ...

...CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS TODAY AS A
60 TO 70 KT MID-LEVEL JET MAX APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...AN MCS WITH ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING IN WRN KS WITH THIS CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM MOVING EWD ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN KS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. IN THE
WAKE OF THE MCS...STRONG DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR ALONG A MOIST
AXIS WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S F EXTENDING NNWWD FROM
CNTRL OK INTO WCNTRL KS. NAMKF FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS
CORRIDOR BY 00Z SHOW EXTREME INSTABILITY IN CNTRL OK WITH MLCAPE
VALUES APPROACHING 5000 J/KG.
FURTHER NORTHWEST...MLCAPE VALUES DROP
INTO THE 3000 TO 4000 J/KG RANGE INTO NW KS. IN ADDITION...THE
MID-LEVEL JET MAX SHOULD MOVE OVER THE INSTABILITY AXIS DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING CREATING STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 50 TO 60 KT RANGE. THIS
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE A VERY FAVORABLE RAPID SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT
ONCE SFC-BASED STORMS INITIATE JUST WEST OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. MODEL FORECASTS ARE IN
AGREEMENT ORGANIZING A CLUSTER OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS IN NRN KS
AND DRIVING A WELL-DEVELOPED MCS EWD ACROSS NERN KS INTO NRN MO
OVERNIGHT.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE THREATS...A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
INCREASE FROM NRN OK INTO CNTRL KS DURING THE EARLY EVENING FEEDING
INTO SUPERCELLS ONGOING IN THE NRN PART OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AROUND HUTCHINSON KS AT 00Z SHOW IMPRESSIVE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR BELOW 800 MB AND
0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 25 KT
. THIS COMBINED WITH LCL HEIGHTS AROUND
500 METERS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH SUPERCELLS THAT
TRACK EWD ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA. WITH THIS VERY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW LONG TRACK
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES
. THE
CORRIDOR WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR STRONG TORNADOES SHOULD EXIST
FROM HAYS KS EWD ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR TO MANHATTAN KS AND SWD
ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR
. SUPERCELLS SHOULD BE MORE ISOLATED SWD INTO
FAR SRN KS AND NRN OK WHERE A CAPPING INVERSION WILL BE INCREASINGLY
INFLUENTIAL. SUPERCELLS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS STRONG INSTABILITY
SHOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL. THE WIND DAMAGE
THREAT SHOULD BE FOCUSED FURTHER EAST ACROSS ERN KS INTO NW MO AS
THE MCS BECOMES WELL-DEVELOPED.

...NRN OZARKS/MID-MS VALLEY/SRN OH VALLEY...
AN AXIS OF MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ACROSS MO
EXTENDING EWD INTO THE SRN OH VALLEY. MODEL FORECASTS AGREE WITH
DEVELOPING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE STRONGLY TIED TO SFC HEATING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z ACROSS SRN MO INTO WRN KY SHOW MODERATE
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SUGGESTING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AND/OR
ORGANIZED BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STRONG
INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR LARGE HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE
STORMS. IN ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE QUITE STEEP
SUGGESTING A THREAT FOR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO EXIST.

...NY/ERN PA/MD...
A WELL-DEFINED MOIST AXIS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC NEWD ACROSS ERN PA INTO CNTRL NY. THE MODELS DEVELOP
MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG THE CORRIDOR WITH STORMS INITIATING IN
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ECNTRL PA AND SRN NY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THIS CORRIDOR SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE
35 TO 40 KT RANGE SUGGESTING SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS. THE LATEST NAM AT 18Z SHOWS 0-3 KM LAPSE RATES OF 8.5
TO 9.5 C/KM SUGGESTING DOWNDRAFT MOMENTUM WILL BE QUITE EFFICIENT
AND FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE. HAIL WILL ALSO BE LIKELY WITH THE
MORE INTENSE CELLS GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY FORECAST.

..BROYLES.. 06/09/2009
Member Since: September 11, 2007 Posts: 124 Comments: 12859
886. IKE 10:37 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Welcome to summer.....

"""Today: Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 68. West southwest wind between 5 and 10 mph becoming calm.

Wednesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Calm wind becoming west northwest between 5 and 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind between 5 and 10 mph becoming calm.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming west between 5 and 10 mph."""...........


Beach weather.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
887. Cavin Rawlins 10:39 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
888. MahFL 10:40 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
95 is too hot for me, beach or no beach.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2421
889. IKE 10:46 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting MahFL:
95 is too hot for me, beach or no beach.


Here's my WU forecast for tomorrow....


Wednesday
Mostly sunny. West winds around 10 mph. Highs 94 to 99.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
890. weatherwatcher12 11:21 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
It's very overcast and windy here.
the winds are picking up
Member Since: May 16, 2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 1231
891. stormwatcherCI 11:22 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting weatherwatcher12:
It's very overcast and windy here.
the winds are picking up
Same here. Looks like the blob is trying again. We'll see what happens.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8038
892. weatherwatcher12 11:23 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
kingston forecast:
uesday
Thunderstorm. High: 29 °C . Wind ESE 61 km/h . Chance of precipitation 100% (water equivalent of 44.73 mm).

Tuesday Night
Thunderstorm. Low: 25 °C . Wind East 25 km/h . Chance of precipitation 100% (water equivalent of 40.89 mm). Heat Index: 31 °C .

Wednesday
Thunderstorm. High: 30 °C . Wind SE 57 km/h . Chance of precipitation 100% (water equivalent of 93.69 mm). Heat Index: 34 °C .

Wednesday Night
Thunderstorm. Low: 26 °C . Wind SSE 25 km/h . Chance of precipitation 100% (water equivalent of 95.10 mm). Heat Index: 31 °C .

Thursday
Thunderstorm. High: 30 °C . Wind SE 61 km/h . Chance of precipitation 100% (water equivalent of 173.53 mm). Heat Index: 33 °C .

Thursday Night
Thunderstorm. Low: 26 °C . Wind SE 25 km/h . Chance of precipitation 100% (water equivalent of 32.00 mm). Heat Index: 32 °C .

Friday
Thunderstorm. High: 30 °C . Wind SE 90 km/h . Chance of precipitation 80% (water equivalent of 24.73 mm). Heat Index: 36 °C .
Member Since: May 16, 2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 1231
893. IKE 11:24 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
WTH?

Kingston,JA. for Friday....who writes their forecasts....what R they smokin?

"Friday
Thunderstorm. High: 86 °F . Wind SE 55 mph . Chance of precipitation 80% (water equivalent of 0.97 in). Heat Index: 96 °F ."
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
895. IKE 11:28 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
This entire system...from Central-America to Bermuda is kind of trapped. It isn't going away anytime soon.

According to the GFS and NAM, moisture should be increasing between Cuba, Jamaica and maybe the Caymans within 48 hours....then a low forms and tries to maybe move west or get sheared to death or both.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
896. Cavin Rawlins 11:39 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Illustrations to my update


30 hrs - Surface and upper



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
897. IKE 11:42 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
I see the low at the surface attached to the wave. How does it survive the upper-air feature to it's west and NW?

Maybe it's moving in tandem. I read where a cut-off low was suppose to form with that trough to the west.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
898. AWeatherLover 11:49 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Highs for me hovering right around 95 all week. Lows near 70. Beautiful weather if you ask me. I love that I get to spend my lunch break at the pool for the next couple weeks. As long as the rain stays at bay until later in the afternoon.
Member Since: November 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 431
899. weatherwatcher12 11:50 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting IKE:
WTH?

Kingston,JA. for Friday....who writes their forecasts....what R they smokin?

"Friday
Thunderstorm. High: 86 °F . Wind SE 55 mph . Chance of precipitation 80% (water equivalent of 0.97 in). Heat Index: 96 °F ."

well it is getting windy here
Member Since: May 16, 2009 Posts: 1 Comments: 1231
900. IKE 11:50 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
91E in trouble...next!

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE JUN 9 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AVILA

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
901. IKE 11:51 AM GMT on June 09, 2009    
Quoting weatherwatcher12:

well it is getting windy here


They must be up on a mountain.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

Viewing: 851 - 901

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35Blog Index

New Comment
Community Standards Policy Comments will take a few seconds to appear.
Post Your Comments
Please sign in to post comments.
Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.
About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather
Partly Cloudy
89 °F
Partly Cloudy
Community Activity