Fourth warmest May on record
The globe recorded its fourth warmest May on record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. The period January - May tied with 2003 as the sixth warmest such period on record. Global temperature records go back to 1880.
A warm and wet May for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., May temperatures were the 24th warmest in the 115-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. The Southeast region experienced its second wettest May in 115-years of record-keeping. In contrast, the West North Central region had their sixth driest May. Both Florida (9.86 inches) and Arkansas (10.91 inches) experienced their all-time wettest May. The last time Florida saw a record wet May was in 1976 when 9.15 inches of precipitation fell. Arkansas experienced its last record wet May in 1930 when 10.07 inches of precipitation fell. U.S. tornado activity was below average in May, according to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.
On June 9, 2009, 14% of the contiguous United States was in moderate-to-exceptional drought. This is a drop from the 19% figure observed at the beginning of the year. The amount of the U.S. in the highest levels of drought, extreme to exceptional, decreased from 2.6% on May 12 to 1.5% on June 9. These extreme drought regions were in South Texas.
El Niño watch issued
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued an El Niño Watch last week, saying "that conditions are favorable for a transition from neutral to El Niño conditions during June - August 2009". The pattern of changes in surface winds, upper-level winds, sea surface temperatures, and deeper water heat content are all consistent with what has been observed during previous developing El Niños. We are currently experiencing neutral conditions, with ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Eastern Pacific just 0.2°C below the threshold for El Niño. In the week since the El Niño watch was issued, ocean temperatures have remained nearly steady in the Eastern Pacific, so we are not rushing into an El Niño just yet. As discussed in detail in an earlier blog post, most of our more advanced El Niño computer models are predicting a weak El Niño event for the coming Atlantic hurricane season. If this indeed occurs, it is likely that Atlantic hurricane activity will be suppressed due to the strong upper-level winds an El Niño usually brings to the tropical Atlantic, creating high wind shear that tears hurricanes apart.
Sea ice extent in the Arctic near average during May
May 2009 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent was near average in May, coming in at 15th lowest (16th highest) since 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. The record May low was set in 2004. The rate of ice decline in May accelerated, and by the end of the month the decline rate was equal to last year's rate. Warmer than usual temperatures over the Arctic during May contributed to this acceleration. The Arctic remains vulnerable to near-record melting this summer if much warmer than average temperatures occur over the region, since the ice is at record thinness this summer. Thin ice requires less energy to melt, and it also tends to be more fractured, with increased open water amid the ice. Since water absorbs more sunlight than ice, heat from the sun can more rapidly melt this fractured ice.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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Heads up Mexico, that is more like a Tropical Storm in strength than a Depression. I expect it to be named at any time.
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 19 JUN 2009 Time : 114500 UTC
Lat : 20:07:44 N Lon : 106:56:45 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.1 / 998.8mb/ 47.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
3.1 3.4 3.4
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb
Center Temp : +10.2C Cloud Region Temp : -19.1C
Scene Type : SHEAR (0.04^ TO DG)
Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
For those with high speed internet MIMIC~ it is strengthening quickly as it approaches land.
Well, I'm in Orlando at daughter's for FD Weekend. Let's see...pool temp 72F. Yep, it's 72F all weekend...Gotta give Flipper(grandson) snorkle lessons. He's ready for lobster season to start, says he wants to catch one...we'll see...
Blog Update
Reflector site for those at work, which now also includes Weather456, daily updates
AOI #1
AOI #2
is slightly north of us this morning but a steady rain has been falling for the past two hours - some thunder and lightning offshore now but the storm seems to have weakened and moved on. NHC discussion doesn't seem to reflect what
current satellite shows, which
is that the worst of the storm
is already almost onshore north
of Puerto Vallarta.
Re your post 1376. You are correct. the location of the ITCZ detirmines our "seasons".
Dry season Jan-May
Wet season Jun-Dec
At least, those are the dates that these things are "supposed" to happen.
Am I really the only Pacific coast blogger out there??? TD 1E
Nope :)
*see whaleboy with fancy YMCA halo
I have 2 of my own ...they are driving me crazy as well!
LMAO!!! I hear you about the kids as well...no one would take mine either :)
About a 1/2 inch an hour rain rate or 70mm in 6hrs falling out of 01E.
I am in Victoria BC
Levi is in Alaska across the creek from Mt Redoubt.... and there are many more.
I was in that boat a few years ago....I have twins boys who are now 6 but when they were born my oldest was 3 (now 10).
I have survived this long...they do me in everyday
Still getting the hang of posting on this board - where are you located?
Anyone else on the Mexican Pacific coast?
LOL. Sounds like what my grandparents did to me when I was about 3-4. They would give me some chocolate, and sometimes some fruit, too. I was WIRED when my parents arrived to pick me up.
It has been a standing tradition that we have a big party with a huge fireworks show. We don't send invitations or invite people, they just know when, where, and what to bring.
I know I know.. Manzanilla?
Or a good guess
Inyo, are you around?
La Manzanilla is a little fishing
village 1 hour north of Manzanillo and 3+ hours south of Puerto Vallarta. Almost no
gringos here in the summer but
full of norte Americanos in the
winter.
SBKaren is from Seal Beach, Cal
In any case, if you go to the WU Weather page, and put in a location near to you; it will list other bloggers in your area.
For instance for Manzanillo :
City/Member/Title/Last Udated
Durango/ panteradgo/ panteradgo's Wunder Blog/ 1 day ago
Tampico Airport/ coldfrontboy/ coldfrontboy's Wunder Blog/ 11 days ago
Acapulco de Juarez/ gabrielaca/ gabrielaca's Wunder Blog/ 1 day ago
I also have a vehicle without AC... except mine has 2 wheels, no windshield, and a V-Twin.
You'll have to forgive me, por favor.
I'm having stir stick withdrawals ;>)
I agree that a burn and fireworks ban should be coming soon. The problem will be implementing it properly. Some areas (south and west of town) should absolutely have one right now.. they are parched. Other areas (far north, and east) aren't anywhere near as bad as the west and south sides. Houston proper is right on the edge of dryness. I think some of the professional displays will stay up (The Woodlands has done theirs in drier weather, for example), but the personal displays should be shut down pretty quick by the fire marshal.
Also... Bush Intercontinental airport (IAH) is either in a huge dry pocket, or a huge wet pocket most of the time. There have been times that the city has been absolutely dumped on with rain, and they will have 1/4 of an inch. And then there are times the city will be bone dry, and IAH will get a popup storm that drops 2 inches of rain.
"Weather Page"???
Yes, thats two you have taken already..after you said you were reforming... and all on the SAME PAGE
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E CENTERED NEAR 19.7N 107.1W 1004 MB AT 0900
UTC OR ABOUT 195 NAUTICAL MILES W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...MOVING NNE
AT 10 KT. FAVORABLE ANTICYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS OVER THE
SYSTEM IS BEING ENHANCED BY AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE
NW OF THE DEPRESSION. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DEPRESSION IS CONFINED TO THE NE SEMICIRCLE...FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN
106W-108W. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY THEN MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO SAT. HEAVY RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO AS THE
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE COAST AND MOVES INLAND.
It's gonna have to really avoid land (& many do in that area) to hold off landfall til sat.
1) Just left my eight year old's Father's Day breakfast at her Summer Camp; go a real nice picture of her in a hand made frame;
2) AC on the fritz in my car; waiting for my main car man for a cancellation to see if I can get it in on Monday or Tuesday; keeping the windows cracked at work so I don't walk into an oven on the way home;
3) High of 100 forecast today in Tallahassee;
4) Will need to crack the car windows a little more, and, drive a little faster on the way home..............
Orca, Shep, I know you will know the answer to this. Anyone else, please chime in.
Instead of buying 'drinking' water, I buy the jugs of 'distilled' water. Figured if it was ok for the insides of my car radiator, it would be alright for my insides as well. Shouldn't distilled water be about as pure as it gets? Besides, I like the non-taste of it. Keep it in the fridge. And it is what is on my hurricane shelf.
Some folks have told me that it is not for drinking - what is with that?
Does anyone know of any reason the distilled water should not be used for drinking water? Maybe lack of presevatives - but that would just mean you need to boil it (if it was on your hurricane shelf for any length of time)?
Inquiring minds want to know.
Go to the top of the page you are on now. In the top blue bar, you will see a place to 'Search' for a location. That will bring you to that location's weather page.
can i have a link too this
Link
Link
Pateradgo's Blog - Durango
Gabriellaca Very active blog - might be just what you are looking for.
BTW, welcome to the blog. Please, keep us informed as to how it is going.
Downward pulse of the MJO looks to have killed the invest in the Indian Ocean. 90W is done too. Two new invests 92W & 93W.
"Bayside Subdivision, Miramar Beach, Florida (PWS)
Updated: 2 sec ago
Clear
85.1 °F
Clear
Humidity: 83%
Dew Point: 79 °F
Wind: 5.0 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 12.0 mph
Pressure: 29.92 in (Steady)
Heat Index: 98 °F
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 5 out of 16
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 25 ft"...........
Heat index of 98 at 9:15 in the morning.
Regarding the second article, I suppose I could throw a bit of bicarb in the water. Darn, and I was going to make lemonade with the stuff ; )
It's a dry heat. Note their dew point. This weather in the SE USA is as bad, if not worse...note there's no heat index listed in this report...plus it's around 5 in the afternoon.
"Baghdad, IQ (Airport)
Updated: 23 min 41 sec ago
Haze
104 °F
Haze
Humidity: 12%
Dew Point: 41 °F
Wind: 6 mph Variable
Pressure: 29.63 in (Falling)
Visibility: 3.1 miles
UV: 2 out of 16
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 112 ft"
There is no endorsement of NWHHC by the University of Miami. Loops are for informational purposes only. Please refer to local emergency management officials for official information
can i may be have the main page of the same site may be??? link
I have had water on my mind since a pipe broke two days ago from a lightning strike under my dining room floor --- not fun.
Have a happy folks, off to a Logical Security meeting again :(
(hope it's OK to post here/ helps a WU member)Part Time Forecaster
...to cover US west coast shifts...
...just one day per week on a regular basis but mainly you would be a fill in...
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