We drove west on I-10 today and this is what we encountered near Live Oak, Florida. We pulled to the side of the road for a time because the rain was more than the wipers could clear for safe driving.
Wind tore the awning from a business on U.S. 19 between Crystal River and Homassaa Springs, Fl., Thursday afternoon. Severe stroms hammered the area, causing wind damage and flooding. A tornado was reported, by a trained spotter, about ten miles South of this location. Check the series for more storm and flood pictures.
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It's not too bad....this sunspot is only producing C-class flares.
but still thats strong right ??? and its comeing are way
Like they said it could cause some geomagnetic storms and aurora, but the only reason it's a big deal is because we just went through the solar minimum and haven't seen any C-class or higher flares in a very long time. In a few years when we're near the solar maximum C-class flares will be an almost daily occurrence. Only M-class and X-class flares are really considered major events.
how bad is M Class and X Class???
Well I'm not a solar scientist, but geomagnetic storms are where strong solar radiation, such as from a solar flare or CME, bombards the earth's atmosphere, resulting in strong auroral displays and sometimes disruptions in communication and electrical networks due to the electro-magnetic properties of the radiation.
This particular event is quite minor.
Here is Tomas
nic
Had a "snow crash" a couple of weeks ago and actually did other things. My nieces, nephews and grandkids come around here sometimes and sort of acknowledge Grandpa but they are still'Talking to their pockets'
Their wi/fi thingys screw up my router.
Tropical Cyclone Warning
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ului, CAT 4
5:00 PM EST March 15 2010
=====================================
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Ului, Category 4 (925 hPa) located at 13.0S 158.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 105 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The severe cyclone is reported as moving west at 5 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T6.0/6.0/S/24hrs
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
35 NM from the center
Storm Force Winds
==================
55 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
130 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 13.3S 158.0E - 120 knots (CAT 5)
24 HRS: 13.5S 157.5E - 120 knots (CAT 5)
48 HRS: 14.3S 158.2E - 125 knots (CAT 5)
72 HRS: 16.4S 159.2E - 125 knots (CAT 5)
Additional Information
==========================
Analysis based on Vis pic with embedded centre.
DT is 6.0, MET is 6.0 also, Final T 6.0. CI is 6.0
System has reintensified during the past 6 hours with a better defined eye. Outflow to south remains very strong.
Tropical Disturbance Advisory #19
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE TOMAS (14F)
18:00 PM FST March 15 2010
======================================
For Wallis and Futuna
======================
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR FUTUNA.
For Fiji and Rotuma
====================
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR CIKOBIA, EASTERN TIP OF VANUA LEVU, RABI, KIOA, TAVEUNI, QAMEA, LAUCALA, NAITAUBA, YACATA, KANACEA, MAGO, CICIA, BATIKI, MOALA, MATUKU,TOTOYA, AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.
A STORM WARNING REMAINS FORCE FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF VANUA LEVU, KORO, MAKOGAI, GAU, VANUA BALAVU, NAYAU, LAKEBA, KABARA AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS.
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF VITI LEVU, BEQA, KADAVU AND THE REST OF THE LAU AND LOMAIVITI GROUPS.
A STRONG WIND WARNING IS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF THE FIJI GROUP.
At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Cyclone Tomas (930 hPa) located at 16.1S 179.5W has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots. Position GOOD based on hourly GMS/GOES enhanced infrared radar imagery with animation. The cyclone is reported as moving south at 6 knots.
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
40 NM from the center
Storm Force Winds
=================
60 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
150 NM from the center
Cyclone has intensified slightly over the last 6 hours. Cyclone lies over a weakly sheared and diffluent environment. Outflow good in all sectors. Sea surface temperature is 30C. System steered southerly by the deep northerly layer mean flow.
Dvorak analysis based on OW eye and LG surround yielding DT 5.5
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5/5.5/D0.5/24HRS
Consensus of the global models agree on southerly track and intensification, but the cyclone is expected to move into a increasingly sheared environment and weaken south of 20S.
Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 17.3S 179.6W - 100 knots (CAT 4)
24 HRS: 19.1S 179.5W - 105 knots (CAT 4)
48 HRS: 24.9S 176.2W - 75 knots (CAT 3)
The Next Tropical Disturbance Advisory On TC TOMAS Will Be Issued At Around 14:30 PM UTC...
Shear is much below average for an El Nino year across most of the Atlantic ocean.
looks like winters last blast hopefully
latet GFS-MRF shows the cold shot coming
Good morning.
Pacific correspondent Campbell Cooney and wires, Monday March 15, 2010
A powerful cyclone has hit Fiji, damaging homes and crops and prompting thousands of evacuations.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Tomas is now rated at Category Four and has made landfall over Fiji's northern islands.
There are no early reports of casualties, although reports said one woman drowned over the weekend in stormy seas.
The director of Fiji's Disaster Management Authority, Pajiliai Dobui, says many who lived in its path have been evacuated.
"About 5,000 are already taking shelter in most of the shelters of the northern division," he said.
Fiji's Meteorological Service says the cyclone is packing winds averaging up to 175 kilometres per hour.
The cyclone is expected to intensify later today and into early Tuesday, with average wind speeds rising to 200kph, and gusts of up to 270kph.
Inia Seruiratu, the head official in the northern region, says weather conditions have worsened dramatically during the day.
"You can see trees swaying and likewise the electrical wires and cables that are running between the poles," he told state radio, adding that conditions would be worse in other areas.
Officials say communications have been lost with smaller islands closer to the eye of the cyclone.
There are reports of damage to homes, other buildings and crops, and Vanua Levu is without power today.
One resident, Alifereti Fisaitu, says his town has escaped damage, but others were not so lucky.
"We have got news from some of our relatives that entire villages, called Wainiika, Nuku and Vatu, are all under seawater and the villagers have fled to an evacuation centre," he said.
On its present track, the eye of Cylone Tomas is expected to pass to the east of Vanua Levu and the largest island Viti Levu, although many smaller islands will be close to its path.
Fiji's main centres were put under curfew overnight on Sunday. This was lifted during the day, except in the northern region, but is set to be reimposed nationwide tonight.
Schools have been closed and most public services suspended throughout the country.
Meanwhile, emergency officials in Solomon Islands are keeping watch on Tropical Cyclone Ului, which hit its southern provinces overnight.
There have been few reports of major damage and no reports of any lives lost.
The cyclone is in the Coral Sea, more than 1,400 kilometres north-east of Mackay in north Queensland, and is moving slowly west-south-west.
The weather bureau says it is unlikely to pose a threat to the Queensland coast.
- ABC/AFP
less wind from you or from mother nature. j/ks
Thanks Aussie, I'm talking from Mother N.
It was a beautiful blue day here in Sydney today. Overnight low was 57 daytime high was 81 and currently it's 66.
Stay safe
An evacuation order was issued for the Weilmoringle and Goodooga communities, in Brewarrina Shire, on Friday.
The State Emergency Service (SES) has warned residents to leave the area no later than tomorrow due to the risk of property damage.
An SES spokeswoman said today that residents were in the process of leaving their homes, with most organising alternative accommodation with family and friends.
It comes after heavy rain deluged southern parts of Queensland, causing the biggest floods in 100 years, some of which is now flowing across the border into NSW.
SES operations controller Tony Casey predicts the Weilmoringle and Goodooga flooding will cause "significant damage'' within the week.
"The forecast flooding is likely to cause significant damage to homes and will pose a direct threat to the residents if they wait too long before they evacuate,'' he said in a statement.
The Bureau of Meteorology says major flooding is also expected on the Culgoa, Bokhara, Birrie, Paroo, Barwon and Narran river systems, all in the state's north.
Flood levels are expected to exceed those of April 1990, when vast areas of land in northern NSW and southern Queensland were submerged and hundreds of homes damaged, the bureau added.
Other evacuation orders will be made if or when they are necessary, the SES says.
River levels in the north of the state are already high following heavy rain since Christmas.
They are now being increased further by heavy rain in Queensland, which is filtering into NSW.
Just returned from a 7 day cruise from Mexico and western Caribbean and hate that I didn't have access to the WU on Friday night/Saturday!...we rocked and rolled from Cozumel back to New Orleans..sure glad that I had some Bonine and my sea legs with me - lol.
I know that winds were gusting over 60 MPH and now sure of the wave height..does anyone know the best place to get weather history for the GOM?
* From correspondents in Suva
* From: AFP
* March 16, 2010 12:56PM
FIJI has declared a state of disaster in the cyclone-hit north and east as damage reports from the storm have risen sharply.
"The national disaster council has declared a state of disaster in the northern division and eastern division," National Disaster Management Office operations officer Anthony Blake said.
The powerful cyclone left a trail of damage through Fiji as winds averaging 175km an hour smashed into the Pacific island group today, forcing the evacuation of 10,000 people.
The main islands of Viti Levu and Vanua Levu had been spared the worst of Cyclone Tomas's devastation since it slammed into the country yesterday but there were reports of extensive damage from some of the outlying islands.
There were no new reports of casualties after a woman drowned in rough seas at the weekend as the cyclone approached.
More than 10,000 people have fled to evacuation centres - mostly in the north of the country - as the storm damaged buildings and crops and brought down communications and power, while many low-lying areas were flooded.
By this morning, Tomas was over the Northern Lau group, to the east of the main islands, Fiji Meteorological Services director Rajendra Prasad said.
He said the average wind speed had increased slightly overnight to 175km an hour overnight but had peaked in intensity.
"The cyclone is expected to maintain its peak intensity for 12 hours or so before commencing a gradual weakening trend," Mr Prasad said.
Fiji Tropical Cyclone Centre senior forecaster Matt Boterhoven said there had been further reports of damage today.
"We had a report this morning from Lakeba, one of the larger islands in the Lau group, that two villages were flooded and some people had to be moved to higher ground," he told Radio New Zealand.
A sea wall also collapsed on another island in the group, he said.
"A lot of sea flooding is occurring and it's causing a significant impact in the northern and eastern parts of the Fiji group this morning," he said.
The impact of Cyclone Tomas is expected to lessen this evening as it moves south of Fiji.
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