The extremely wet and windy Nor'easter that plowed across the northern tier of states has left moderate to major flooding in its wake over both the Midwest and Northeast. In the Northeast, the storm dropped more than five inches of rain in New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut, and moderate to major flooding is occurring in these states. Flooding was particularly severe in Rhode Island on the Pawtuxet River in Cranston, where the river crested a record six feet over flood stage, forcing evacuations. Major flooding was also occurring in New Jersey, where the Passaic River at Little Falls is cresting at five feet over flood stage.
In the Midwest, snow melt and heavy rains have swollen the Red River in North Dakota and Minnesota to near flood stage, and the river is expected to crest two feet above major flood stage by Sunday morning, and one foot above one of the permanent dikes on the river. In Fargo, ND, the Red River is expected to crest Saturday at 38 feet, three feet below the record of 41 feet set last year. Many rivers in Iowa are in flood and expected to crest above major flood stage on Thursday or Friday this week, including the Des Moines River in northern Iowa. In Des Moines, flooding on the Des Moines River is expected to be moderate, but a levee that failed in the floods of 1993 and 2008 is leaking, and residents of the area are evacuating, according to media reports.
Figure 1. Estimated precipitation for the seven day period ending at 8am EDT Monday March 15, 2010. Image credit: NOAA.
Tropical Cyclone Tomas roars through Fiji Islands
Tropical Cyclone Tomas roared through the eastern portion of the Fiji Islands as a major Category 3 storm with 130 mph winds yesterday. Tomas sideswiped the two largest islands in the chain, destroying 50 buildings, causing extensive power outages, and claiming one life. The cyclone made a direct hit on several of the smaller islands to the east of the main islands, and the extent of damage on these islands is unknown, but undoubtedly very heavy.
Tropical Cyclone Ului weakens, may threaten Australia
The first Category 5 tropical cyclone of the year, Tropical Cyclone Uliu, has weakened from its impressive peak as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds to a low-end Category 4 storm with 132 mph winds. Ului is over the open waters of the South Pacific, east of Australia, and is projected to significantly decay as the week progresses, due to high wind shear. Ului may be a threat to the Queensland coast of Australia by the end of the week, but should be at tropical storm strength by then.
Figure 2. Tropical Cyclone Ului (left) and Tropical Cyclone Tomas (right). Over the Solomon Islands, Tropical Cyclone Ului had maximum sustained winds of 130 knots (240 kilometers per hour, 150 miles per hour) and gusts up to 160 knots (300 km/hr, 180 mph). Over Fiji, Tropical Cyclone Tomas had maximum sustained winds of 115 knots (215 km/hr, 132 mph) and gusts up to 140 knots (260 km/hr, 160 mph). The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA's Terra and Aqua satellites captured both storms in multiple passes over the South Pacific on March 15, 2010, local time. The majority of the image is from the morning of March 15 (late March 14, UTC time) as seen by MODIS on the Terra satellite, with the right portion of the image having been acquired earliest. The wedge-shaped area right of center is from Aqua MODIS, and it was taken in the early afternoon of March 15 (local time). Image credit: NASA.
Portlight looks to build permanent shelters in Haiti
On February 26th, torrential rains brought more than five feet (1.5 m) of flood water into the streets in the coastal city of Les Cayes, Haiti, an area unscathed by the massive January 2010 earthquake. Eleven people were killed during this storm, with the rainy season still two months away. This deadly flood serves as a reminder that the people of Haiti are highly vulnerable to disastrous flooding during this year's rainy season. A vast number of the survivors are living in "tent" cities where most of the "tents" are really nothing more than bed sheets draped over ropes and sticks; the potential for a second humanitarian disaster is significant. With this in mind, Portlight.org has been exploring fast, inexpensive methods of providing solid, permanent, safe shelter for survivors of the earthquake. They have found a number of groups looking at using shipping containers for this purpose. Shipping containers are steel-reinforced boxes used for shipping goods overseas. Portlight's on-site coordinator in Haiti, Richard Lumarque, has identified an engineer that has come up with a number of designs for converting these containers into dormitories, offices, medical facilities and individual homes; his plan for a dormitory container is below. Portlight is looking to help with this effort; please visit the Portlight.org web site to learn more and to donate to this worthy cause.
Figure 3. A proposed design for a simple dormitory that can accommodate twelve people, built from a shipping container.
I'll have a new post on Wednesday or Thursday.
Jeff Masters
2010 NorEaster Flood in Manville, NJ
Small bridge in Haddonfield flooded at Cooper River along Kings Highway on 3/13/10
Lower Berkshire Valley Rd.
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 — Blog Index
Again, if you talk about global precipitation and want to use the newest data, you need this chart
Global cooling bites the dust: Hottest January followed by second hottest February. Now March is busting out.
March 17, 2010
The yellow line is the 20-year average temperature, the purple line is of the 20-year “record highs,” and the green line is the 2010 temperature [make your own chart here].
Other temperature datasets show slightly different results. For NASA, January and February were tied for the second hottest on record.
Of course, there never was any global cooling — see Must-read AP story: Statisticians reject global cooling; Caldeira — “To talk about global cooling at the end of the hottest decade the planet has experienced in many thousands of years is ridiculous.” The vast majority of the warming went right where scientists had predicted — into the oceans (see “How we know global warming is happening” and below).
In fact, 2005 was the hottest year on record in both NOAA’s and NASA’s dataset — and in every dataset, the 200os were the hottest decade on record. But the anti-science crowd loves their much-vaunted satellite data. Why?
First, the satellite data shows the warmest year on record to be the uber-Niño year of 1998, allowing the disinformers to ignore the long-term trend and keep repeating the mantra, no warming since 1998.
Second, I think many in the anti-science crowd still operate under the mis-impression that the satellite data doesn’t show any significant long-term warming — a mis-impression creating by some mis-analysis by anti-scientists John Christy and Roy Spencer, mis-analysis that just happened to bias the data in the direction of their beliefs (see “Should you believe anything John Christy and Roy Spencer say?”). Go figure!
In fact, NOAA points out that both satellite data sets show about the same amount of warming as the land-based record, “which increased at a rate near 0.16°C/decade (0.29°F/decade) during the same 30-year period” — once you remove the expected stratospheric cooling from the satellite records (see NOAA discussion here).
G'Nite y'all
Again, misleading when you compare the last 8 years to the last 100 years, where there were many ups and downs similar to that. Also then why didn't your precipitation start going up when the temps did? Why just since 1998 lol? In fact, precipitation was going up between 1998 and 2009 while the temperature was flat-lining between 1998 and 2009, according to one of your favorite data sets, the hadley center:
Right!
Lol, goodnight Atmo....can't wait till hurricane season comes to keep us busy...
Goodnight Atmo... I too must hit the hay... night all!
Yeah well we'll see what the official UAH numbers are at the end of March. Those graphs from that site are only from NOAA-15, which has been degrading into a more diurnal orbit, increasing its warm bias in temperature readings. The official UAH record has new AQUA satellite data incorporated into it from 2002, which has thrusters to keep it in stable orbit. NOAA-15 is no longer considered a reliable satellite to use in the temperature data, and is no longer part of the data set. AQUA and others have taken over from now on.
"Update 19 Dec 2007 *****************************
As noted below, the diurnal drift of NOAA-15 is becoming more obvious. We
are still working on a correction scheme to remove this spurious warming
effect. Through comparison with other AMSUs, the warming drift by
Oct and Nov is on the order of 0.2 C (i.e. the values of v5.2 are too
warm for TLT by that amount.) This has been a long ordeal because we
want to create a correction that will stand the test of time."
Link
All have a great Nite and will read more tomorrow.....
Taco :0)
Why dont you show us the original data ... or maybe there is no original global precipitation data from the australian bureau?
night everyone
Thank you so much for that video. I needed an objective view on global warming and there it was.
These are no threats, explain maybe? If you think an angry mob could be a threat to you then maybe rethink what you doing, when putting your opinion above facts.
This will happen one way or another, i said this earlyer. And this is no threat - this is facts backed up by historical data. But again, you dont belive in facts as i understand you .... sooo maybe it would be wise to look at the facts?
You and a few others who refuse to accept the facts - science of climate deserve a lifelong ban, in my humble opinion.
You seem to be confused.
Take a breathe amigo. While I agree with your position 100% and also get frustrated by the nutjobs who cant read science, you'll attract more bees with honey. Stick to the facts, nothing else.
And I strenuously suggest you avoid using the term "nutjobs" to describe these...well..nutjobs.
The number of victims of last week's flood that destroyed a village near Kazakh financial hub Almaty has risen to 37, a deputy prime minister said Tuesday.
World
"According to the preliminary data of the Emergencies Ministry, 37 bodies have been recovered already," Aset Isekeshev told a government meeting. The previous toll was 34.
Eager to show decisive leadership at a time of economic hardship, President Nursultan Nazarbayev has ordered the government to investigate the rupture Friday of a dam, and bring to justice those responsible.
In a statement issued after Nazarbayev's order, the interior ministry said it had detained five officials including the mayor of Kyzyl-Agash, a village which was completely destroyed when the nearby dam burst, flooding hilly pastures north of Almaty.
Spring flooding is a frequent occurrence in Central Asia but a sudden rise in temperatures following weeks of heavy snow storms has exacerbated the problem this year. (Reporting by Raushan Nurshayeva; Writing by Olzhas Auyezov)
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE62F0ZL20100316
There will be a time when people who lied about climate change will be hunted from an angry mob
i do have too say he is funny at times
a hunt from an angry mob now that end part was funny
Yes there is checks & balances but things are melting, growing zones are shifting & the sat temp readings are way too high, that El Nino is no 1998...so if not greenhouse gas, soot, dark roofs,crop fields & less forests.. why are we so much warmer?
Levi~ I wish I could send you to Chemistry Class for science majors. The carbon cycle is amazing. Without greenhouse gases earth would be about 60ºF colder. Chemists through lab & real world experiments know the exact global warming potential & atmospheric life expectancy of the many different greenhouse gases. We know the earth doesn't stay neatly checked between a tight balance & there are stores of Methane a much more effective greenhouse gas stored in & around all the melting permafrost, that recently started bubbling to the surface in a large way.
I agree with you on the water vapor thing. As the published..notable increase really isn't expected yet & should have some sort of neg feedback. El Nino is a seeder of clouds. I suspect this past winter has more to do with natural cycles + this excess heat. We are seeing the more extreme precipitation events & droughts as expected.
Bash Gore all you want. He's boring & seems to have some political motives. His light bulb campaign probably saved more emissions than you or I could hope to but beyond that you'd think big oil gave him that movie deal (& then told him great job). Still doesn't change Chemistry.
Lets hope thats the case.
That video was a bunch of BS! It was not even produced by NASA it appeared.....HOW FUNNY to post such a fake!
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:
hurricanes101 says You cant seem to stand that someone has a different opinion than yours and you have resorted to threats and violence. You deserve a ban for these threats and before you say it back, no I do not deserve a ban for not agreeing with your opinion
These are no threats, explain maybe? If you think an angry mob could be a threat to you then maybe rethink what you doing, when putting your opinion above facts.
This will happen one way or another, i said this earlyer. And this is no threat - this is facts backed up by historical data.
You and a few others who refuse to accept the facts - science of climate deserve a lifelong ban, in my humble opinion.
Take a breathe amigo. While I agree with your position 100% and also get frustrated by the nutjobs who cant read science, you'll attract more bees with honey. Stick to the facts, nothing else.
And I strenuously suggest you avoid using the term "nutjobs" to describe these...well..nutjobs.
Typical GW activist Stuff. Hopefully 2 bans will be coming.
Wow how colorful the image is. And how accurate, we see now live, what scientist tell us years - climate change means more flood/precipitation.
A bunch of BS?
What is BS about this video?
This is an offical video from NASA Tamapspin.
Yes TampaSpin it will be very bad!
Oh btw all this data you use here, is ONLY there because we have science.
70%! I love the U S A, now just explain to those 30% (incl. some wu bloggers), thank you very much!
Interesting read :)
As noted on a few posts a month ago, any early season storms will probably depend to a large degree on sheer levels in May & June as it is a given that the warm waters will be there....Just have to wait until then but some of the models are forecasting low sheer at the beginning of the season...Will also have to see how strong, or weak, the A-B high gets as well.
After reading some of the post lastnight im glad to see drgod disappear.
Viewing: 1001 - 1051
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 — Blog Index