Not sure what this thing is, it is at the old Shoffner Gin area in Shoffner. They were hit by a tornado last night. A Church was destroyed, nothing left of it. Notice the legs of this thing, just pulled them out of the ground.
Tornado captured in Sardis Arkansas. It was twilight when and this was shot at ISO 6400 thus it is noisy. Tornado was about 3/4 miles from us during this shot. I clicked 3 frames and we hauled booty. The tornado crossed the road at this exact place a few moments later. moved on to East End Arkansas where id did extensive damage.
Flood damage in Hollow Rock Tennesse (
Criqet)
A railroad crossing washed out from torrential rains in Carroll County Tennessee. Over 6 inches of rain logged in with my weather station KTNHOLLO!
Many more photos coming.....thanks for viewing
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Heres some good sites for explaining the NAO.
Link
Link
Oh, my bad.
Here's the effect on the tropics explained by Dr.Grey and the CSU team.
"Conditions in the Atlantic are quite favorable for an active season. SST anomalies across the Main Development Region for March are near their highest levels on record. Figure 9 displays the currently-observed SST anomaly pattern across the Atlantic. Note the very strong positive anomalies throughout the tropical Atlantic and the cool anomalies in the Gulf of Mexico and off the East Coast of the United States. This SST anomaly pattern is characteristic of the very strong negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index values that were present during January and February. A negative NAO is characterized by anomalous high pressure in the northern Atlantic and anomalous low pressure near the Azores High (Figure 10). This pressure gradient pattern causes a reduction in the trade winds (Figure 11). Reduced trade winds drive less upwelling and evaporation from the sea surface, typically resulting in a warming of SSTs. Warmer Atlantic SSTs in the MDR are associated with an active THC/positive AMO, weaker tropospheric vertical wind shear, weaker trade winds, increased instability and lower-than-normal sea level pressures. All of these conditions are generally associated with much more active Atlantic basin hurricane seasons."
By Ryan Smith, The Times-Picayune
May 02, 2010, 11:51AM
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Eyewitness to the rig Blowout,Ae. La. Sport Fisherman who were just off the rig April 20th.
It was pretty cool to see them literally SAIL! When we drove at night the jellyfish would glow as they passed under the boat by the thousands. The tuna bites were starting to slow down so we drove right up to the rig to try to catch bait. No bait, but we found more tuna under the floating rig. Around 10pm the entire center of the rig started rushing water downwards over all the pipes... I've never seen such an event take place. I looked at my friend who previously worked offshore, and he said that's BOP something another and the rig took a 'kick!' I thought the rig was sinking and that was their way of bilging... But nope! Methane gas began BLOWING out of the West side of it and the noise of the thrust was louder than anything I've ever herd (except for a sonic boom I herd once, and what I'm about to tell you next) My eyes began to burn and that friend I was telling you about earlier began to SCREAM, "GO, GO, GO, GO, GOOOOO!" I positioned my compass North and put the gears in WOT! At approximately 100 yds from the rig it Exploded! Puts a new meaning to explosion. We hit the deck and continued North @ WOT, Blind because the moon was at quarter crescent and I had no radar.
Not too sure about it verifying.
1. Pple going "he didn't even say sorry" are ridiculous. Once u say "sorry", u are admitting it was all your fault, which means u have to pay for everything. Since BPs default position is "it's not our fault" regardless of the situation, that's just ridiculous to expect. Besides, it seems to me that nobody really knows just where the fault lies as yet. So kinda stupid to assume fault or place blame in these circumstances...
2. Nobody's talking it, but it seems to me sabotage cannot as yet be ruled out. Lots of potential sabateurs out there, everybody from Obama-haters to BP-haters to Arab-oil-supporters. Lots of wingnuts out there.... and that's the RADICAL potential causes.... lol
3. I don't get the impression that this kind of failure is a common one.... depth and problems with the BOP seem (or are being portrayed as being) relatively unusual circumstances. Right now there's definitely some kind of equipment failure that appears relatively unexpected. Why so unexpected, I'm sure we'll find out.
4. What role did human error have in the equipment failure? Did we have employers / employees falsifying reports of correctly functioning equipment, esp the BOP? Did we have shoddy installation e. g. things installed upside down, which caused / contributed to failure? Or was the equipment itself faulty, causing pple to place faith in shoddy workmanship that was bound to fail?
5. I think some pple are ridiculous about how quickly they expected for teams to be in place to forestall leakage at the site. Like, do u forget the rig was BURNING for the first 12+ hours? Kinda hard to work on oil recovery when pple there were expecting things to blow up some more.... Then at first they didn't realize there were 3 leaks; so it was kinda hard to deploy anti leak measures of the volume actually required. I keep thinking some pple expect more than is humanly possible...
I admit my instinct is to lambaste BP.... it seems they are the one intl oil company it is easiest to associate disaster with. Is it just bad luck? company policy? Biased news reporting? who knows? But this sure is a situation which should entail clean up and solutions to problems FIRST, and blame throwing and avoiding SECOND.
Just my few hundred wds..... lol
surface returns from the sonar would make this an improbable tool.
I understand that (I think) but couldn't they map out the extent of the subsurface oil?
The NAO deals with the difference in pressure between Iceland and the Azores. It highly influences the magnitude and direction of the westerlies in the North Atlantic, thus influencing storm tracks across the region. A positive NAO indicates a larger difference in pressure between Iceland and the Azores, resulting in a stronger pressure gradient between the semi permanent Icelandic Low and the Azores High. This would in turn result in stronger westerlies over the North Atlantic. Inversely, a negative NAO results in a weaker difference in pressure between Iceland and the Azores, giving weaker westerlies. Here is a link with a short explanation and a couple pictures showing this NAO.
You make ask does the NAO have an influence on tc tracks? The answer is yes in my view. Research has shown that a strongly positive NAO results in the strengthening and shift of the Azores High ot the east, placing it closer to the western side of the Atlantic basin. As the Atlantic hurricanes approach the western periphery of this strong High pressure system, it acts as a conveyer belt causing a hurricane to take a more northerly track, and in some situations, steering it away from the Eastern U.S. On the contrary, a strongly negative NAO results in the weakening and shift to the south and west of the Azores High, placing it closer to the southeastern U.S. This would result in the steering of Atlantic hurricanes more towards the Eastern United States or into the Gulf of Mexico, making it more of a possibility for landfall. I'm not saying that this is always the case. These are just a couple scenarios. Hurricane forecasting is very difficult and there are many different factors that come in to play, as I'm sure you already know. I hope this helps!
CPC-NAO
no, we are talking inches of thickness.. or less.. no sonar today could discern such a small difference on/at the surface. To get any detail, you would have to use very high frequencies, which severely limits range.. and again, surface returns would muck it up.
Its scorching across my area of the SE and in the Caribbean. It might very well verify.
I sent you a PM.
live tv NT
Not sure if it is the same model but this shows dramatic warmth as well:
The guy that called into the Mark Levin show yesterday did so to dispel all rumors that it was anything but a natural accident
Mark Levin
the part about the conspiracy theory is just what one would expect of him
the part about it being ok to kill LA wildlife,.... well, in a way it's typical Limbaugh also, isn't it? Why be caring when u can be callous ....
I doubt even the more apathetic of the LA / MS coastal dwellers would go to this point, though. I think they can at least appreciate the damage to human activities and would therefore want to see some kind of successful cleanup efforts.....
I earned mine in '72
429. StSimonsIslandGAGuy a plus
I believe they're run on the same base physics. The only difference is that particular run was initialized on April 28th and the other came out today.
yes I am.. why, I remember back on Pangea there was this raptor that said to the triceratops; "Hey did you hear"..... well, this is family rated blog.. perhaps over a beer sometime...
Informed speculation about what may have led up to the blowout of the DWH may be found here:
Link
I've spent probably 10 hours reading on that site. It's kind of like Wunderground but for deepwater drillers and engineers. It seems clear that this was a tragic accident, but that it will be some time before the true details emerge. That being said, there are some coherent explanations being offered. Just like here, there is a lot of jargon and acronyms to wade through, but if you read enough posts you will find yourself sorting those out.
Thanks, watching. I've been paying more attention to wx related comments and potential effects than causes.
I notice some pple have been suggesting shutting down all GOM drilling... wouldn't that be like closing all coal mines because of the recent accident in WV? I can understand pple not wanting new drilling off the east coast, but closing current sites seems like a bit of overkill to me.
Still seems more logical to push developments in alternative energy b4 shutting down US drilling....
There is little question that we need offshore oil and gas to fill in at least some of the hole that will be there from peak oil before alternative energy comes fully onstream (it's going to be painful enough as it is without shutting in the gulf). Technically, there is likely to be additional guidance re: cementing of wellheads, and there is already a move towards placing blowout preventers much closer to the surface.
Politically, it's a nightmare, and it's clearly an historical disaster from an economic, environmental and ecological standpoint. Worse, it appears that flowrate is much higher than the 5000 bpd that is being bandied about ... probably by an order of magnitude. Current best estimates seem to suggest that we already have 9 million barrels in the gulf ... the Exxon Valdez was 11 million, the Mexican offshore rig was 160 million by the time it was over (most of it ended up at the bottom of the Gulf).
This is likely to go on for months ...
NOAA Closes Commercial and Recreational Fishing in Oil-Affected Portion of Gulf of Mexico
Link
MAP OF AFFECTED AREA
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