Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Violent tornado rampage in 11 states leaves 31 dead

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:40 PM GMT on March 03, 2012

+35

A massive tornado outbreak of stunning violence swept through the nation's midsection yesterday, spawning deadly tornadoes that killed at least 31. Hardest hit were Kentucky and Southern Indiana, which suffered 13 and 14 dead, respectively. Three were killed in Ohio, and one in Alabama. The scale of the outbreak was truly exceptional, with a preliminary total of 81 tornadoes touching down in eleven states, from southern Ohio to southern Georgia. At one point, 31 separate tornado warnings were in effect during the outbreak. An area larger than Nebraska--81,000 square miles--received tornado warnings, and tornado watches were posted for 300,000 square miles--an area larger than Texas.

Figure 1. Satellite image of the massive storm that spawned yesterday's tornado outbreak, taken at 4:55 pm EST March 2, 2012. NASA has an impressive satellite animation of the storm. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Incredibly fast-moving storms
The speed with which some of the storms moved was truly exceptional, thanks to jet stream winds of up to 115 mph that pushed the thunderstorms forward at amazing speeds. A number of the tornadoes ripped through Kentucky with forward speeds of 70 mph, and two tornado warnings in Central Kentucky were issued for parent thunderstorms that moved at 85 mph. If damage surveys reveal that these thunderstorms did indeed spawn tornadoes, they will set the record for fastest-moving tornadoes in recorded history. The record for the fastest moving tornado is 73 mph, set in 1925 for the great Tri-State Tornado, the deadliest U.S. tornado of all-time. Here's the text from one of the tornado warnings yesterday, featuring a storm moving at 85 mph:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
439 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
FAYETTE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...
JESSAMINE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
EASTERN WOODFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 515 PM EST...

* AT 434 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WILMORE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 85 MPH.

Video 1. Short video the violent tornado that devastated West Liberty, Kentucky.

Figure 2. Radar image of the West Liberty, Kentucky tornado of March 2, 2012, showing a classic hook echo. The tornado killed at least 3 people, and devastated the downtown area.

Second largest tornado outbreak so early in the year?
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 81 preliminary tornado reports from yesterday's outbreak as of noon today. These preliminary reports are typically over-counted by 15%, but more delayed reports will likely come in today, and the total number of tornadoes from the outbreak will probably be in the 80 to 90 range. This would put the March 2, 2012 in 2nd or 3rd place for the largest tornado outbreak so early in the year. The top five 2-day tornado outbreaks for so early in the year:

January 21 - 22, 1999: 129 tornadoes, 4 deaths
February 5 - 6, 2008: 87 tornadoes, 57 deaths
March 2, 2012: 81 tornadoes, 31 deaths
February 28 - March 1, 1997: 60 tornadoes, 10 deaths
January 7 - 8, 2008: 56 tornadoes, 4 deaths

Though the 36 tornadoes that occurred during the February 28 - 29 Leap Day outbreak were part of a separate storm system, the 5-day tornado total from February 28 - March 3, 2012 may eclipse the late January 1999 tornado outbreak as the most prolific 5-day period of tornado activity on record for so early in the year.

Figure 3. Damage from the Salyersville, Kentucky tornado of March 2, 2012. Damage characteristic of at least EF-3 intensity occurred. Image credit: Jon Pelton, via the NWS Jackson, KY.

Figure 4. Radar image of the Salyersville, Kentucky tornado of March 2, 2012, showing a classic hook echo of a tornado.

Slight risk of severe weather today over the Southeast U.S.
The storm system that spawned yesterday's severe weather has pushed northwards into Canada, but the trailing cold front is still spawning severe weather over Northern Florida, Southern Georgia, and surrounding states. Three tornadoes have touched down this morning in Southwest Georgia and northern Florida, causing damage but no reported injuries. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed this region in their "Slight Risk" area for severe weather, two steps down from the "High Risk" forecast for Kentucky yesterday. SPC issues "High Risk" forecasts just 3 - 5 times per year, typically. Looking at the long range weather maps, I don't see any storm systems capable of causing major tornado outbreaks coming during the next 7 - 10 days. You can use our Severe Weather Page and Interactive Tornado Page to follow today's storms.

Figure 5. Team Rubicon at work during last year's tornado recovery efforts.

Portlight disaster relief charity responds to the tornado disaster
Portlight has a seasoned veteran from last year's tornado recovery efforts in Harrisburg, IL, and is looking for more people to volunteer their time. They are teaming with another disaster recovery charity, Team Rubicon, in the effort. As usual, they will be focusing efforts on the un-served, under-served and forgotten. Please visit the Portlight Disaster Relief blog to learn more. Donations are always welcome! My heartfelt sympathies and prayers go to all those affected by yesterday's destruction.

I'll be back Monday with much more information on the tornado outbreak.

Jeff Masters

Hail (rds817)

Mostly quarter size

Warning Warning Warning! (dixiedaughter)

It has been an exciting night and is expected to get worse between 2-6 AM.

After the Storm (Collie)

After a day of tornado warnings, supercells, hail and high winds... it was nice to see a rainbow.

Friday Mount Juliet Hail 3 (c3tn)

Hail from storm moving through the Mount Juliet, TN area Friday afternoon.

Categories: Tornado

Permalink | A A A

Top of Page

Reader Comments

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200

Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 151 - 201

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 — Blog Index

151. Bluestorm5 10:21 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Henryville, Indiana 1st tornado is confirmed by NWS. It's an 175 mph EF4 tornado. Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 3474

152. BahaHurican 10:27 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican: I wonder how many of the insured homeowners are going to have to fight getting stiffed by their insurers... And my heart goes out to the uninsured who lost homes. http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/46613843/ns/busines s-stocks_and_economy/ Deadly tornadoes create huge insured loss risk Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17595

153. violet312s 10:29 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5: Henryville, Indiana 1st tornado is confirmed by NWS. It's an 175 mph EF4 tornado. Link? Member Since: June 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 769

154. BahaHurican 10:31 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5: Henryville, Indiana 1st tornado is confirmed by NWS. It's an 175 mph EF4 tornado. Not at all surprised by this. The images of the area near that school were pretty graphic. Which means, then, that the West Liberty damage could be EF-3, at least potentially. Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17595

155. Tropicsweatherpr 10:36 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
I Quoting BahaHurican: Not at all surprised by this. The images of the area near that school were pretty graphic. Which means, then, that the West Liberty damage could be EF-3, at least potentially. I think it will take a little bit of time to study this West Liberty tornado damage as it covers a big area. I am in the EF-4 camp,but they could classify it as a EF-3. Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 8121

156. Bluestorm5 10:36 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting violet312s: Link? It'll be up soon. Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 3474

157. violet312s 10:38 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5: It'll be up soon. Been trying to find it on the NWS site but having no luck. Would be interesting to learn how wide that tornado was and how long the continuous path was. Member Since: June 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 769

158. Bluestorm5 10:42 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting violet312s: Been trying to find it on the NWS site but having no luck. Would be interesting to learn how wide that tornado was and how long the continuous path was. I am not finding it either. I just saw many major news station tweeting that NWS confirmed it as EF4 at 175 mph. I think NWS gave the information to the media before heading back. I am sure this is the real thing. EDIT: Eric Fisher of TWC posted on his account saying Henryville is EF4 at 175 mph. Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 3474

159. violet312s 10:50 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5: I am not finding it either. I just saw many major news station tweeting that NWS confirmed it as EF4 at 175 mph. I think NWS gave the information to the media before heading back. I am sure this is the real thing. Yeah, I imagine the NWS team is rather busy in that area today. Member Since: June 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 769

160. Bluestorm5 10:53 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
NWS Birmingham: Due to the use of NOAA Weather Radios, no one was injured after mobile home hit by EF2 in Verbena, AL. Quoting violet312s: Yeah, I imagine the NWS team is rather busy in that area today. Well, we'll see what the results is from Henryville soon. It appears that two tornadoes hit Henryville, so they're still trying to figure out the 2nd tornado I think. First one was EF4. Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 3474

161. violet312s 10:56 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5: NWS Birmingham: Due to the use of NOAA Weather Radios, no one was injured after mobile home hit by EF2 in Verbena, AL. Everyone should have a weather radio. Many communities no longer even support weather sirens. Member Since: June 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 769

162. BahaHurican 10:58 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
3/3/2012 550 PM EST Preliminary findings from National Weather Service Survey Teams: Confirmed EF3 Tornado in Menifee and Morgan Counties. The tornado in West Liberty was rated as EF3. Confirmed EF3 Tornado in Salyersville in Magoffin County. Confirmed EF2 Tornado in Laurel County. More specific information on completed surveys will be posted as it becomes available. Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17595

163. Bluestorm5 11:01 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Sorry guys, apparently Henryville rating is NOT CONFIRMED yet. It's likely 175 mph EF4, but that's just a rumor until it's confirmed. Sorry about that. Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 3474

164. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:02 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Bluestorm5: Sorry guys, apparently Henryville rating is NOT CONFIRMED* yet. It's likely 175 mph EF4, but that's just a rumor until it's confirmed. Sorry about that.* It has been confirmed. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25215

165. Bluestorm5 11:04 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: It has been confirmed. Just confused because I haven't seen official report from NWS yet. Saw this tweet from one of CNN reporter: Press conference now in Henryville, IN. Communication spotty. NWS report tornado likely EF4, but can't confirm w/survey team (bad signal). Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 3474

166. MAweatherboy1 11:05 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Is it me or is this a really big flood warning? FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 538 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ALC061-067-069-FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065 -073-077-079-123- 129-131-133-GAC007-017-019-027-037-071-075-087-09 5-099-131-155-173- 177-185-201-205-253-275-277-287-321-041030- /O.NEW.KTAE.FA.W.0001.120303T2238Z-120304T1030Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/ GENEVA AL-HOUSTON AL-TURNER GA-TIFT GA-THOMAS GA-MITCHELL GA- MILLER GA-LOWNDES GA-LANIER GA-LEE GA-BROOKS GA-BAKER GA-BEN HILL GA- BERRIEN GA-CALHOUN GA-WORTH GA-COLQUITT GA-COOK GA-DOUGHERTY GA- EARLY GA-GRADY GA-IRWIN GA-CALHOUN FL-LEON FL-MADISON FL-JACKSON FL- DECATUR GA-SEMINOLE GA-GULF FL-LIBERTY FL-HOLMES FL-HENRY AL- TAYLOR FL-JEFFERSON FL-BAY FL-GADSDEN FL-WAKULLA FL-FRANKLIN FL- WASHINGTON FL-WALTON FL- 538 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR... FRANKLIN COUNTY IN FLORIDA... GADSDEN COUNTY IN FLORIDA... JEFFERSON COUNTY IN FLORIDA... LEON COUNTY IN FLORIDA... LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA... MADISON COUNTY IN FLORIDA... NORTHWESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY IN FLORIDA... WAKULLA COUNTY IN FLORIDA... BAY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... CALHOUN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... GULF COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... HOLMES COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... JACKSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... WALTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... WASHINGTON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... BEN HILL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... BERRIEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... BROOKS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... COLQUITT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... COOK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... IRWIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... LANIER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... THOMAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... TIFT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... EASTERN GENEVA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... BAKER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... SOUTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... DECATUR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... DOUGHERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... EARLY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... GRADY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... SOUTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... MILLER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... MITCHELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... SEMINOLE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... * UNTIL 530 AM EST SUNDAY/430 AM CST SUNDAY/ * AT 524 PM EST/424 PM CST/...SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL OF REDEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL OVER THE WARNED AREA. NEW CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ASHORE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS HIGH POTENTIAL TO OCCUR. STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING OR IN FLOODWAYS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS OR IN URBAN AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING. REPORT FLOODING OR FLOOD DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3089 8635 3185 8351 3178 8299 3145 8314 3087 8297 3064 8313 3008 8398 3005 8430 2989 8434 2968 8487 2962 8507 2960 8498 2965 8535 2994 8541 3038 8640 3039 8613 3046 8640 $$ 52-LANIER Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6342

167. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:08 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Breaking (or not so much anymore) news: The Henryville, IN tornado has been rated a mid-high EF4 with maximum sustained winds of 175 mph. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25215

168. MAweatherboy1 11:12 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
WELL above average temperatures expected for the next couple weeks for almost the entire US besides the West Coast and espcially Alaska Below normal precip also forecast for many areas besides the Northwest and Midwest... None of this is easing my fears about the coming wildfire season. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6342

169. MAweatherboy1 11:15 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: It's actually quite small when you look at it. The light green polygon, not the bluish one. No way! Look at the NWS home page... Half the Florida Panhandle and much of southern Georgia is under a flood warning. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6342

170. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:17 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1: WELL above average temperatures expected for the next couple weeks for almost the entire US besides the West Coast and espcially Alaska Below normal precip also forecast for many areas besides the Northwest and Midwest... None of this is easing my fears about the coming wildfire season. I'd be really concerned about Severe Weather season, which has obviously already begun, as well. Spring is a little over two weeks away, but there has been little in the way of arctic outbreaks this year. What this has done is prevented the Gulf of Mexico from cooling, which means a lot more moisture than normal is now available for strong low pressure areas to draw up and meet with cooler air behind it. Additionally, we've had a screaming jet stream for the past several months, which is providing strong wind shear for outbreaks. Yeah, I'm not too enthusiastic about the upcoming Severe Weather season. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25215

171. ScottLincoln 11:18 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: It's actually quite small when you look at it. The light green polygon, not the bluish one. GR2Analyst does not display river/aerial Flood Warnings, just Flash Flood, Tornado, Marine, and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1531

172. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:19 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1: No way! Look at the NWS home page... Half the Florida Panhandle and much of southern Georgia is under a flood warning. Oh, Flood Warning, GR2Analyst doesn't have that. It has Flash Flood Warnings. My bad. Quoting ScottLincoln: GR2Analyst does not display river/aerial Flood Warnings, just Flash Flood, Tornado, Marine, and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. Yeah, my mistake. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25215

173. SPLbeater 11:19 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
stupid glitch. lol Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953

174. ScottLincoln 11:21 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1: No way! Look at the NWS home page... Half the Florida Panhandle and much of southern Georgia is under a flood warning. One must wonder... how exactly will the public use this information? Are people going to avoid all low spots and river/stream crossings over a ~100,000mi2 area? Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1531

175. Ameister12 11:24 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
The Henryville EF4 tornado as it ripped through the town. Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3481

176. BahaHurican 11:28 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
I'd expect a flood warning like that to get people looking out for flooding in areas which traditionally flood, and maybe avoid unnecessary travel. Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17595

177. GeorgiaStormz 11:29 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
so for the rest of the year , we will get nothing, just like winter after snowtober. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7129

178. GeorgiaStormz 11:31 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
ip in alabama Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7129

179. ChillinInTheKeys 11:32 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Follow up to my post #138 "Toddler found alive in Indiana field after storms." A hospital spokeswoman says a 2-year-old girl found alive in an Indiana field after violent storms is the sole survivor of her immediate family. Cis Gruebbel is a spokeswoman for Kosair Children's Hospital in Louisville, Ky. She said Saturday that the girl's mother, father, 2-month-old sister and 3-year-old brother all died Friday when the storms devastated southern Indiana. Gruebbel says the toddler is in critical condition. She would not identify the child and says she could not provide details on the child's ordeal. She says extended family members are at the hospital with the child. Melissa Richardson, a spokeswoman for the hospital in Salem, Ind. where the child was first taken, said the child's family is from New Pekin, Ind., and she was found near her home. Link Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 448

180. GeorgiaStormz 11:35 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
snow showers in ne ga. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7129

181. BahaHurican 11:35 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
SPC AC 031952 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0152 PM CST SAT MAR 03 2012 VALID 032000Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SERN GA AND ADJACENT NRN FL... ...N FL/SERN GA... TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE DECREASING ATTM...AS THE MORE VIGOROUS INDIVIDUAL SUPERCELL STORMS ARE NOW CONFINED TO THE FAR SERN GA AREA. AS THESE STORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE...PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE IN THE WAKE OF THE MORE CELLULAR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE LINEAR. THEREFORE...WILL REMOVE 10% TORNADO PROBABILITY THIS FORECAST...CONTINUING WITH A 5% AREA COINCIDENT WITH THE SLIGHT RISK LINES. THE NWRN FL COASTAL AREA IS ALSO BEING REMOVED THIS FORECAST...AS SURFACE DATA REVEALING PERSISTENT BOUNDARY LAYER SWLYS AND ASSOCIATED CLEARING ALONG THE W COAST SUGGESTS THAT MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN INLAND. OTHERWISE...KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT ACROSS SERN GA AND NRN FL AHEAD OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS...AND THUS LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO...INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ..GOSS.. 03/03/2012 Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17595

182. MAweatherboy1 11:35 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting ScottLincoln: One must wonder... how exactly will the public use this information? Are people going to avoid all low spots and river/stream crossings over a ~100,000mi2 area? Good question... It's kind of inconvenient for people to avoid that entire area. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6342

183. Ameister12 11:35 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
West Liberty tornado has been rated an EF3. Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3481

184. Ameister12 11:36 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Salyersville tornado has been rated an EF3 as well. Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3481

185. Tropicsweatherpr 11:38 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Ameister12: West Liberty tornado has been rated an EF3. Do you have a link to that important news? Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 8121

186. Tazmanian 11:39 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Ameister12: West Liberty tornado has been rated an EF3. ugh? i was thinking more like EF4 or 5 Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111323

187. MAweatherboy1 11:42 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Tazmanian: ugh? i was thinking more like EF4 or 5 I was too based on what the radar looked like, but the damage was actually not as bad as I thought it would be... EF3 probably the right call by NWS Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6342

188. Tazmanian 11:43 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1: I was too based on what the radar looked like, but the damage was actually not as bad as I thought it would be... EF3 probably the right call by NWS ok Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111323

189. violet312s 11:44 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting ChillinInTheKeys: Follow up to my post #138 "Toddler found alive in Indiana field after storms." A hospital spokeswoman says a 2-year-old girl found alive in an Indiana field after violent storms is the sole survivor of her immediate family. Cis Gruebbel is a spokeswoman for Kosair Children's Hospital in Louisville, Ky. She said Saturday that the girl's mother, father, 2-month-old sister and 3-year-old brother all died Friday when the storms devastated southern Indiana. Gruebbel says the toddler is in critical condition. She would not identify the child and says she could not provide details on the child's ordeal. She says extended family members are at the hospital with the child. Melissa Richardson, a spokeswoman for the hospital in Salem, Ind. where the child was first taken, said the child's family is from New Pekin, Ind., and she was found near her home. Link Oh that is so sad. Member Since: June 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 769

190. Ameister12 11:45 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr: Do you have a link to that important news? Eric Fisher Twitter: West Liberty, KY #tornado has been preliminarily rated an EF-3 by the NWS. Also an EF-3 in Saylersville. #kywx Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3481

191. ScottLincoln 11:50 PM GMT on March 03, 2012
Quoting Tazmanian: ugh? i was thinking more like EF4 or 5 Strongest depiction on radar seemed to be just west of town, so it is possible that nothing was hit, or they havent found the damage yet to make the rating higher. Similar situation for Salyersville. Just another reminder as to why we should probably keep super early speculation to a minimum. Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1531

192. BahaHurican 12:03 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Quoting Ameister12: West Liberty tornado has been rated an EF3. Quoting Ameister12: Salyersville tornado has been rated an EF3 as well. That is sooooooo 20 messages ago.... lol Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17595

193. ChillinInTheKeys 12:04 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Fortunately she's young enough that I doubt she'll remember it. Wish her good times and happiness ahead. At least it appears she's surrounded by family that cares. Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 448

194. TropicalAnalystwx13 12:04 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
I have a feeling our break will not be as long-lived as we thought earlier. Wow. This is a sounding for the warm sector in 120 hours, or next Thursday. What this is showing is a very favorable wind shear environment, conducive for tornadoes. However, temperature aren't quite sufficient for a big outbreak due to cloud cover limiting daytime heating. We'll have to watch this though, because the wind profile is absolutely insane in this sounding. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25215

195. TropicalAnalystwx13 12:17 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25215

196. number4steel 12:28 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
twister in nc was e2 according to local news, that chart at 195 is startling , i would have tought 2012 outbreak was worse. the story about the toddler in like a punch in the gut. Member Since: August 29, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 61

197. WxGeekVA 12:30 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Homer Simpson on Global Warming Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3312

198. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 12:32 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: so for the rest of the year , we will get nothing, just like winter after snowtober. no that will be far from the case there will be more this has only been the beginning Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40413

200. ChillinInTheKeys 12:38 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Quoting WxGeekVA: Homer Simpson on Global Warming Well, since you brought it up... While things are slow... And hopefully it'll stay that way!!! "Oceans Turning Acidic Faster than Past 300 Million Years." Man... I'll miss oysters! Link Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 448

201. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 12:42 AM GMT on March 04, 2012
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40413

Viewing: 151 - 201

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 — Blog Index

Top of Page

New Comment

Community Standards Policy Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

About JeffMasters