Tropical Weather Discussion - Saturday, October 5, 2013

By: Randy Bynon, 1:57 PM GMT on October 03, 2013

Good morning folks! Well, Karen is trudging onward toward the NNW this morning. The latest from NHC says it's barely holding on to TS winds. I wouldn't expect much more. Based on the current satellite loops, I think we'll see Karen continue to wind down. This morning's RGB (false color combination of IR and visible) shows Karen's circulation quite nicely but the nearest convection is about 100nm SE of the circulation.

If you look at the same...


Updated: 12:39 PM GMT on October 05, 2013

Tropical Weather Discussion - Monday, July 9th 2013

By: Randy Bynon, 4:46 PM GMT on July 09, 2013

We're watching TS Chantal this week as it makes its way into the Caribbean. There are a lot of factors going into the long range forecast! We'll talk about that this morning! Let's go over the tropics!

Gulf of Mexico …

Over the past few days, the sub-tropical jet stream has been slicing from southwest to northeast across the northwestern Gulf with shortwave troughs working along the flow resulting is a lot of rain over the northe...


Updated: 4:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2013

Tropical Discussion - Thursday June 6, 2013

By: Randy Bynon, 2:24 PM GMT on June 06, 2013

NHC upgraded 91L past the depression stage and right into TS Andrea yesterday based on aircraft recon and satellite data. Today Andrea has continued to intensify and is now a strong tropical storm with 60mph winds.

IR imagery shows convection well displaced east of the center but beginning to get wrapped into the center of Andrea.

Shear is still strong over the region and a large pool of dry air still exists over the entire gulf. The dry...


Tropical Discussion - Monday June 3, 2013

By: Randy Bynon, 6:39 PM GMT on June 03, 2013

91L is still a broad, disorganized system. Some thunderstorm activity has increased overnight though it should be noted that tropical systems over water tend to be more intense diurnally in the early morning hours normally.

Shear is still rather strong over the entire Gulf of Mexico though it is expected to decrease somewhat over the next 48 hours. The entire Gulf not affected by this system is also very dry. However, since there really isn'...


Updated: 1:21 PM GMT on June 05, 2013

Welcome to the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season!

By: Randy Bynon, 4:16 PM GMT on May 31, 2013

Hi folks! It's that time of year again when we start keeping our eyes on the tropics as we start the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

As you know, the hurricane season starts tomorrow, June 1st and runs through November 30th. This years' storm name list looks like this:



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About LRandyB

I was an AF aviation weather forecaster for 12 years, then 15 years as a dropsonde systems operator with the AF Reserve Hurricane Hunters.