texwarhawk's WunderBlog

Posted by: texwarhawk, 9:14 PM GMT on June 13, 2011

While the tropics are quiet I've decided to take this time to address the ongoing drought in Texas, and more specifically Houston. In Houston the last rain to fall was on June 6th (.11") and no precipitation is in the forecast. The NWS forecast for the next seven days is calling for "Sunny and Hot" conditions with temperatures flirting with triple digits. Hobby Airport in south Houston has not had more than .25" of rain since April 14th, and is now 20" below average for the year. Temperatures this month have been extremely hot in Houston with temperatures hitting 105 on consecutive days and 5 out of 13 days with record temperatures and more in the forecast. But what's unusual for Houston is the dry air. This is due in part to, the now neutral, la nina. Dry air off the mountains in Mexico has been filtering in to the Texas Gulf Coast causing dew point temperatures at 600mbars to be below -40*C, compared to Tucson's -25*C at the same level.

This has caused the normal sea-breeze showers the Gulf Coast receives to be non-existent. As the summer looms and wildfire danger continues, the Texas drought may become this years most costliest natural disaster.

Temperature Forecast for July, Aug., Sept.

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93L is Dying, Invest in Caribbean, and Extreme Drought in Texas

Posted by: texwarhawk, 9:17 AM GMT on June 03, 2011

NHC has returned to saying 93L has about a 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone. 93L lost convection about 900UTC yesterday and has since been fighting the abnormally dry air in the Gulf.I found this explanation of the dry air:"It has been really dry lately in Texas. The reason it is dry is that we are in La Nina, which pushes the jet stream further north than usual. It causes storm systems to go further north, which means it allows warm air aloft above the surf...

Updated: 9:19 AM GMT on June 03, 2011

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2 Areas of Invest

Posted by: texwarhawk, 9:35 AM GMT on June 02, 2011

This morning we find two areas of invest on our second day of the 2011 hurricane season.The first one I will discuss is 93L in the Gulf of Mexico. While it did look promising just before and soon after tracking across the northern Florida Peninsula, it has now lost most convection and it's broad circulation is visible in infrared RGB loops.Wind sheer is favorable and has been dropping ahead of 93L and SSTs are warm as always in the GOM, but 93L is moving at a very q...

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My Amateur Thoughts on 2011 Hurricane Season

Posted by: texwarhawk, 8:18 AM GMT on June 01, 2011

Today is the official start of hurricane season and we already have two area's that need to be watched. The first is a small area of convection off the coast of Florida/Georgia, the second a very wide area of scattered convection in the Caribbean off the coast of Panama. Both are areas of possible tropical genesis, the one off the coast of Florida being the most immediate, while the one off the coast of Panama, should be watched in the next few days.Storm off the co...

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First Entry

Posted by: texwarhawk, 5:09 AM GMT on September 20, 2010

Hello all,My name is Jared, and I am currently a freshman Atmospheric Science major at University of Louisiana-Monroe (although I am from Houston, TX). I am currently enrolled in a program called Emerging Scholars in which I am creating a project on The Connection Between ENSO and Tropical Systems in the Atlantic Basin.I shall update ya'll as I continue.

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